Trade Patterns in Food Imports to China: Commodities, Trends, and Shifts (1992-2020)

Autores/as

  • Ricardo Castellanos-Curiel Universidad de Colima
  • Benjamín Vallejo-Jiménez Universidad de Colima

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32870/mycp.v12i35.810

Palabras clave:

Food, Trade, Substitutability, China, Imports

Resumen

Our research unveils how China’s food-related imports from 1992 to 2020 changed in composition by decreasing the imports of some commodities in favor of others. Their origins suggest that some countries are being substituted as commercial partners for specific commodities. We empirically identified outliers by setting interquartile limits at the commodity level and by origin. Unit-root and normality tests were applied. Finally, Spearman or Pearson correlation coefficients were computed where appropriate. Results indicate that imports are stabilizing during the studied period. China increased its imports of Sugar and cereals to the detriment of edible preparations, live animals, trees, and oilseeds. Some Asian countries are capturing part of the market once dominated by North America or Europe. Finally, lower dependence on partners was found for meat, gums, cocoa, and edible preparations. This methodology might help those analyzing the effects of trade agreements, country specialization, and strategic decisions.

Descargas

Los datos de descargas todavía no están disponibles.

Biografía del autor/a

Ricardo Castellanos-Curiel, Universidad de Colima

Ricardo Castellanos Curiel Maestro en Finanzas por la Universidad de Colima en 2009, donde imparte cátedra en materias relacionadas a las finanzas, los negocios y la economía desde entonces.  Participó en el diseño e implementación de la primera licenciatura dictada totalmente en inglés en una universidad pública Mexicana y ha participado en colaboraciones internacionales en el programa Columbus-Hub Academy. Obtuvo el puesto de Profesor-Investigador de Tiempo Completo en 2017. Sus áreas de interés son las Finanzas, en particular, las relacionadas a las finanzas personales y a las de las Pequeñas y Medianas Empresas. Pertenece al Cuerpo académico CA-UCOL-109 Estudios Transdisciplinarios de los Negocios, en el que participó en proyectos sobre trazabilidad y sobre el uso del Inglés como medio de instrucción (EMI) para materias relacionadas a los negocios. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2494-4033

Benjamín Vallejo-Jiménez, Universidad de Colima

Benjamín Vallejo Jimenez es Profesor-investigador en la Facultad de Economía de la Universidad de Colima, México. Doctor en Ciencias Económicas con especialidad en Finanzas por la Escuela Superior de Economía del Instituto Politécnico Nacional (México). Tiene perfil PRODEP, es SNI 1, y pertenece al UCOL-CA- 109 Estudios Transdisciplinarios de los Negocios, el cual es parte de la Red de Investigación sobre políticas públicas de igualdad y participación laboral con perspectiva de género. Producción en áreas Financieras, Económicas y en Métodos Cuantitativos.Correo: benjamin@ucol.mx ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7449-2939

Citas

Fung, K., Hwang, H.-C., Ng, F., & Seade, J. (2013). Production networks in China and India: a comparative analysis. Economic Changeand Restructuring, 46(1), 45-69. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-012-9133-4

Gale, H. F., Hansen, J., & Jewison, M. (2015). China’s growing demand for agricultural imports. (USDA-ERS Economic Information Bulletin 136). 1-35.

Hanson, G. H. (2012). The Rise of Middle Kingdoms: Emerging Economies in Global Trade. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(2), 41-64. https://doi.org/ 10.1257/jep.26.2.41

Hao, W., & Xiaoqing, L. (2015). China’s Imports Technology Structure and Its Relationship with Trade Partners: 1995-2011. China Economist, 10(1), 74-87

Huang, Y., & Tian, X. (2019). Food accessibility, diversity of agricultural production and dietary pattern in rural China. Food Policy, 84, 92-102.

https://doi.org/ 10.1016/j.foodpol.2019.03.002

Jun, Y., Wenqian, Y., Ming, L., & Xiaobing, W. (2013). Complementarity of China-Africa Agricultural Products Trade: Trends and Challenges. China Economist, 8, 86-97.

Khan, M. A., & Ahmad, I. (2017). An Analysis of Export Pattern and Competitiveness of India-China in Global and Bilateral Market. fiib Business Review, 6, 9-18.

Kim, S., & Shikher, S. (2015). Long-run Effects of the Korea-China Free-Trade Agreement. Journal of East Asian Economic Integration, 19(2), 117-142. https://doi.org/10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2015.19.2.293

Koizumi, T. (2013). Biofuel and food security in China and Japan. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 21, 102-109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.12.047

Ledgard, S. F., Wei, S., Wang, X., Falconer, S., Zhang, N., Zhang, X., & Ma, L. (2019). Nitrogen and carbon footprints of dairy farm systems in China and New Zealand, as influenced by productivity, feed sources andmitigations. Agricultural Water Management, 213, 155-163. https://doi. org/10.1016/j.agwat.2018.10.009

Li, L., Huang, W., Gao, Z., Xu, Y., & Huang, C. H. (2021). Determinants that influence Green Consumption Intention: An Investigation of Environmental Perceptions of College Students in China. International journal of Engineering, Business and Management, 5(5), 1-5. http://www.journal-re- pository.theshillonga.com/index.php/ijebm/article/view/4088

Li, X. (2012). Technology, factor endowments, and China’s agricultural foreign trade: a neoclassical approach. China Agricultural Economic Review, 4(1), 105-123. https://doi.org/10.1108/17561371211196801

Liu, Y., & Zhou, Y. 2021. Reflections on China’s food security and land use policy under rapid urbanization. Land Use Policy, 109, 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2021.105699

Lu, X., & Li, R. (2010). South-South cooperation: is there a foundation in trade? Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, 3(3), 221- 234. https://doi.org/10.1108/17544401011084307

Lyu, J., & Li, X. (2019). Effectiveness and sustainability of grain price support policies in China. Sustainability, 11(9), 2478-2478. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11092478

Qiu, H., Huang, J., Keyzer, M., Van Veen, W., Rozelle, S., Fisher, G., & Er- molieva, T. (2011). Biofuel Development, Food Security and the Use of Marginal Land in China. Journal of Environmental Quality, 40(4), 1058- 1067. https://doi.org/10.2134/jeq2011.0012

Qu, W., Shi, W., Zhang, J., & Liu, T. (2020). T21 China 2050: a tool for national sustainable development planning. Geography and sustainability, 1(1), 33-46. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geosus.2020.03.004

Scott, G. J., & Suarez, V. (2012). From Mao to McDonald’s: Emerging Markets for PotatoesandPotatoProductsinChina1961-2007. American Journal of Potato Research, 89(3), 217-231. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s12230-012-9246-3

Shao, J. (2019). Sustainable consumption in China: New trends and research interests. Business Strategy and the Environment, 28(8), 1507-1517. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/bse.2327

Sun, S. K., Yin, Y. L., Wu, P. T., Wang, Y. B., Luan, X. B., & Li, C. (2019). Geographical evolution of agricultural production in China and its effects on water stress, economy, and the environment: the virtual water perspective. Water Resources Research, 55(1), 4014-4029. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023379

UnComtrade. (2003). Internet resource. <http://comtrade.un.org/>

Villasante, S., Rodríguez-González, D., Antelo, M., Rivero-Rodríguez, S., de Santiago, J. A., & Macho, G. (2013). All Fish for China? AMBIO, 42(8), 923-936. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0448-9

Villoria, N. (2009). China’s Growth and the Agricultural Exports of Sub-Saharan Southern Africa. European Journal of Development Research, 21(4), 531-550. http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/ejdr.2009.27

Wang, Q., Parsons, R., & Zhang, G. (2010). China’s dairy markets: trends, disparities, and implications for trade. China Agricultural Economic Review, 2(3), 356-371. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/17561371011078462

Weng, Y., Chang, S., Cai, W., & Wang, C. (2019). Exploring the impacts of biofuel expansion on land use change and food security based on a land explicit CGE model: A case study of China. Applied Energy, 236, 514-525. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.12.024

Xiao, X., Tian, Q., Hou, S., & Li, C. (2019). Economic policy uncertainty and grain futures price volatility: evidence from China. China Agricultural Economic Review, 11, 642-654. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/CAER-11-2018-0224

Xie, B., Tingyou, L., & Yi, Q. (2011). Organic certification and the market: organic exports from and imports to China. British Food Journal, 113(10), 1200-1216. http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/00070701111177647

Xiong, B., & Song, Y. (2018). Big data and dietary trend: The case of avocado imports in China. Journal of International Food & Agribusiness Marketing, 30(4), 343-354. https://doi.org/10.1080/08974438.2018.1426073

Ye, Q., Li, Y., Zhang, W., & Cai, W. (2019). Influential factors on water footprint: A focus on wheat production and consumption in virtual water import and export regions. Ecological indicators, 102, 309-315. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.02.051

Zhang, Y., Li, C., Xu, Y., & Li, J. (2021). An attribution analysis of soybean price volatility in China: global market connectedness or energy market transmission? International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 24(1), 15-25.

Publicado

2023-04-29 — Actualizado el 2023-10-13

Versiones

Número

Sección

Análisis